When you hear people talking about betting lines in
the NFL you are not really talking about the point
spread or bookmakers totals, but the price sportsbooks
are charging to take your bets. Sports bettors must
play at 11-10 odds and be able to win at least 52.3%
of their football wagers to turn a profit at seasons
end. The majority of the betting public will not only
be able to win 52.3% of their sports bets long term
but even if some are capable of overcoming the bookmakers
vigorish, some exert terrible money management tactics
and will still be losing players.
While most football bettors seem to think that picking
53% winners against the bookmakers NFL lines is an
easy task it is anything but that. Some of the sharpest
football handicappers will only win 54% of their gambling
picks over the football season and will be very happy
to do so.
Another think that most don’t realize is that
a 55% handicapper will also have a losing season about
1 out of every 7 years. Now granted there will be
plenty of other money making seasons along the way,
but there is a way that the law of averages and variance
tends to rear its head from time to time.
The point of this article is to remember that betting
against the NFL line is tough. If you are betting
NFL football on your own, record all of your bets
and see what percentage you actually win at. Most
football bettors think it is a lot higher than it
actually is. For more picks against the weekly NFL
line view our free
football picks home page for free picks from the
nations top handicappers.